Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.137303 0.152364 0.167763 0.184645 0.202594 0.221069 0.241485
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.120916 0.141995 0.164301 0.189534 0.217159 0.246361 0.279444
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.106919 0.132139 0.159653 0.191626 0.227491 0.266230 0.310986
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.094450 0.122590 0.154184 0.191811 0.234946 0.282420 0.338194
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.084757 0.115235 0.150384 0.193189 0.243210 0.299169 0.365854
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.075390 0.107396 0.145297 0.192457 0.248577 0.312311 0.389257
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.069661 0.103450 0.144403 0.196310 0.259026 0.331143 0.419141
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.063227 0.098055 0.141288 0.197109 0.265574 0.345263 0.443494
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.057285 0.092795 0.137929 0.197257 0.271073 0.357972 0.466106
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.051452 0.087200 0.133748 0.196040 0.274640 0.368195 0.485671
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.047285 0.083542 0.131799 0.197413 0.281226 0.381939 0.509384
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.045047 0.082409 0.133044 0.202787 0.292753 0.401675 0.540347
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.040815 0.078195 0.130069 0.202710 0.297586 0.413539 0.562282
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.038344 0.076394 0.130252 0.206701 0.307558 0.431752 0.592023
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.035272 0.073422 0.128615 0.208119 0.314138 0.445737 0.616633
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.031957 0.069787 0.125819 0.207793 0.318333 0.456675 0.637486
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.029348 0.067066 0.124167 0.208899 0.324314 0.469820 0.661081
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.026415 0.063538 0.121124 0.207903 0.327394 0.479219 0.679991
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.024964 0.062428 0.121607 0.211802 0.336974 0.496912 0.709322
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.022874 0.059998 0.119943 0.212542 0.342240 0.509049 0.731690
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.020815 0.057425 0.117908 0.212632 0.346548 0.519911 0.752451
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.018637 0.054405 0.114999 0.211312 0.348826 0.528080 0.769774
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.017183 0.052646 0.114003 0.212725 0.354818 0.541077 0.793264